Hayatullah Ahmadzai
Agricultural and Development Economist
Durham, NC, USA

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I am an applied economist studying how climate and environmental shocks affect agricultural productivity, food security, and the welfare and resilience of farm households, and how markets, technology adoption, and policy shape their ability to adapt. I use household survey, climate, and geospatial data with econometric methods, including causal inference and impact evaluation, and have worked in both academic and research-for-development settings.

Recent Work

Climate Shocks, Household Food Security and Welfare in Afghanistan
Ahmadzai, H., and Morrissey, O. Food Policy, 2025. Also presented at Stanford University, April 2026.

Crop Diversification and Farm Household Welfare during Conflict: Afghanistan 2011–2017
Ahmadzai, H., and Morrissey, O. The Journal of Development Studies, 2025, 61(3), 381–399.

Tests for Market Failures and Overcoming Transaction Costs Barriers to Market Participation in Afghanistan
Ahmadzai, H. Journal of Social and Economic Development, 2026, 28, 637–655.

Research Interests

Agricultural & Food Policy • Climate Shocks, Adaptation, & Agricultural Resilience • Farm & Household Economics • Food Security and Rural Livelihoods • Applied Econometrics & Causal Inference

Affiliations: MESA Global Academy Scholar (2025–2027), Middle East Studies Association | External Research Fellow, CREDIT, University of Nottingham